[Animism: The belief that natural objects, phenomena, and the universe itself have desires and intentions.(Free On Line Dictionary)
Numen: A spirit believed by animists to inhabit certain phenomena or objects.(Webster’s)
Some writers, possibly closet animists, ascribe seemingly inexplicable phenomena at Amazon to “the algorithms,” much as the Romans attributed natural events they couldn’t comprehend to the numen. I’ve been jostled by these algorithms, and can commiserate with the virtual cries of anguish.
Yggdrasil: The Mother Numen of Amazon Algorithms
KDP Select promotions that have no longer have any seeming affect on sales? “The algorithms.” Vanishing book reviews? “The algorithms.” Books suddenly gone from Category lists? “The algorithms.” Sales off? “The algorithms.” Some folks seem to spend more time trying to comprehend those algorithms and perceive their flaws than they do writing—impossible without reverse engineering the source code, which Amazon isn’t going to share.
More useful, perhaps, is to consider the emergent issue of “the algorithms” within the context of Amazon’s boldly-conceived and well-executed triumph as the premier on-line book retailer. For computer programs, after all, are written within the context of a business philosophy to “execute the decisions, actions, and activities of an organization or system,” as systems design theory puts it. Is what we’re seeing in those algorithms reflective of high-level decisions at Amazon? Or is it something less insidious?
Historically, Amazon’s brought literacy into a new age by championing the ebook, the greatest innovation in mass communication since Gutenberg invented moveable type in 1436. Gutenberg’s invention released the written word from the death grip of church and aristocracy, expanding the Renaissance, sparking the Reformation and the Age of Reason.
Amazon freed the written word from the palsied hand of traditional Big 6 gatekeepers, the self-anointed arbiters of what books were to be given life. Readers were hungry for the content Big 6 publishers were denying them, and hungry for it at an affordable price. Amazon is providing that—and making oodles of money doing so.
It seems a virtuous process for Amazon, its customers and authors. Why would Amazon jeopardize its success by alienating and disaffecting its writers through slash-and-burn programs and counter-intuitive sales promotion algorithms? Few people can create a good, book-length read. Logically, one wouldn’t want to drive them into the welcoming arms of the growing, well-funded competition.
This illogical behavior could be written off to hubris, which has felled many a successful enterprise, but Amazon’s senior management has never seemed lacking for introspection. I doubt it is now.
Rather, I believe that due to the size and complexity of Amazon’s burgeoning information technology structure and its own rapid corporate expansion, widening cracks may be appearing: undiagnosed cascade events, wherein one new program has unintended consequences on other processes. And in daily management, where direction from the top is misinterpreted or wrongly implemented. Jeff Bezos’ legendary micromanagement and superb computer science skills alone may no longer be enough to ensure all facets of Amazon’s functionality.
We’ll see if complaints continue to grow and if and when there’s a response. Smart money says Amazon will get it together.
But maybe I’m wrong—maybe it is the algorithms themselves. And if I study them long enough and hard enough, perhaps I can understand them and resolve my own Amazon issues. Then I’ll publish a Kindle ebook entitled Understanding Amazon’s Algorithms: a Guide for Authors.
No harming trying. Off to commune with Yggdrasil’s numen. How does one begin? Oh, of course.(Uncanny how you just think “sacrifice” and all the cats disappear.)
Cheers,
Steve
November 29th, 2012 on 9:18 am
Very much agree with your conclusions. I'm not sure if two others factors may also be at play though. Perhaps the KDP program just got over populated and so the success of early adopters had to diminish.
Organisations have a life cycle and when at the pinnacle of success, they often start to erode the dynamics that got them there (IBM, Microsoft, etc.). I'm hoping Amazon aren't doing this and I'm certainly sticking with them but with Apple biting their heels, they need to continue to nurture their community of writers. If they migrate, Amazon could be an 'also ran' ebook distributor with a vast range of other product lines in which they have no leadership position.
But you are right; they won't intentionally screw up!
December 10th, 2012 on 11:35 pm
Thank you for sharing your thoughts on this, Peter. I guess we’ll see what happens–and diversify as best we can as we wait.
Best wishes,
Steve
January 30th, 2013 on 7:18 am
If you do publish that book, I'll definitely be the first one to read it. It's going to be a real success too because judging from this article, it'll be great. I'll be looking forward to it.
February 25th, 2013 on 1:39 am
Thank you, Lucy. I do have a novel to write first, though that book would be at least as much fun.
Best wishes,
Steve
February 19th, 2013 on 1:45 am
Makes you wonder why whomever built the system hasn't already produced that ebook, doesn't it? Amazon must pay her/him well to keep the system secret. Or it's a monkey.
February 25th, 2013 on 1:29 am
Possibly the whole enterprise is now so large no mere mortal can comprehend it, let alone control it. And so, here we are.
Cheers,
Steve
February 24th, 2013 on 3:53 am
This could be one of the consequences of Big Data. One can get seduced by the "algorithms" and respond to correlations that are just that with no real cause and effect. Amzon will ultimately get it right, but it could be economically painful getting there. See bit.ly/YCd7DE "what is the Big Deal about Big Data.
BTW, thanks for following.
February 25th, 2013 on 1:35 am
Yeah, very large information systems go on and on like some uncharted great gray sea, with calamities always just over the horizon. If Amazon continues its breakneck expansion, it’s going to continue to have systems’ issues until things slow down. Not an issues unique to Amazon. (I could swear I only had three free book promotions with them last year, but lo! the spreadsheets from them say four.
I dunno.)
Will check out your post–thanks so much for commenting and sharing, Jack.
Cheers,
Steve